ATLANTIC HURRICANE FORECAST SEES ‘SLIGHTLY BELOW-AVERAGE’ SEASON WITH 13 NAMED STORMS IN 2019

KEY POINTS

  • After destructive Atlantic hurricanes in 2018, a “slightly below-average” season of 13 named storms is forecast this hurricane season, according to a forecast released Thursday.
    Five storms are forecast to reach hurricane status, according to researchers at Colorado State University.
  • Two of the hurricanes are forecast to reach “major hurricane strength” of Category 3 to 5, or winds of 111 mph or greater.
  • The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season produced a total of 15 named storms, including eight hurricanes of which two were Category 3 or above.
  • After destructive Atlantic hurricanes in 2018, a “slightly below-average” season is projected for this hurricane season, according to a forecast released Thursday.

The Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to Nov. 30, is forecast to have five storms reach hurricane status, according to a team of researchers at Colorado State University. Two of the hurricanes are forecast to reach “major hurricane strength” of Category 3 to 5, or winds of 111 mph or greater.

“From the looks of it, it will be a quiet season,” said Jhordanne Jones, one of the CSU researchers.

Sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic Ocean are “slightly cooler than normal right now,” according to the forecast. It said the colder surface temperatures “provide less fuel for tropical cyclone formation and intensification.”

Forecasters put the probability of major hurricanes making landfall along the U.S. East Coast, including the Florida Peninsula, at 28 percent and noted that is below the average of 31 percent for the last century. It said there’s a 39 percent probability of a major hurricane making landfall in the Caribbean, again slightly below average for the last century.

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